When the Cowboys (7-4) travel to face the Saints (5-6) on “Thursday Night Football” (8:20 p.m. ET, Fox, NFL Network and Amazon Prime Video), both teams will be looking to rebound from Thursday losses in Week 12. The Cowboys were upset at home by the Raiders, while the Saints were routed at home by the Bills.
Dak Prescott should have his three top wide receivers — Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup — all together on the field for the first time since Gallup hurt his calf in Week 1. Cooper is set to return from a two-game COVID-19 shelving while Lamb was concussed and out for Las Vegas. Ezekiel Elliott (knee) will keep playing through injury but it’s uncertain whether the Cowboys will load manage him given he has a strong backup in Tony Pollard.
The Saints will be looking for an offensive spark by going back to Taysom Hill (foot) as their starting quarterback. Hill will be helped by the likely return of running back Alvin Kamara (knee) and the certain return of running back Mark Ingram (knee), while New Orleans’ offensive line still isn’t at full strength.
Here’s everything to know about betting on Cowboys vs. Saints in Week 13, including updated odds, trends and our expert’s prediction for “Thursday Night Football.”
Cowboys vs. Saints odds for Thursday Night Football
- Spread: Cowboys by 4.5
- Over/under: 47.5
- Moneyline: -210, +176
The line has remained rather steady with positive health information for both teams and no concern of a short-week road alteration as Dallas and New Orleans also played on Thursday for Thanksgiving in Week 12.
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
Cowboys vs. Saints all-time series
The Cowboys lead the limited series 17-13 from the 30 meetings. The Saints won 12-10 on a Thursday night in 2019. They also have won five of the past seven contests and 10 of 13, helped by a five-game winning streak starting in 1998 to turn the tide. The Cowboys won in 2014 and 2018.
Three trends to know
—77 percent of spread bettors are siding with the Saints to cover the spread with a good number as home night underdogs.
—56 percent of over/under bettors don’t think there will be enough offense on either side from Prescott and Hill and going below the point total.
—The Cowboys are 7-3 against the spread along with going 7-3 straight up in their past 10 games with only half going over. The Saints are 4-6 ATS and 4-6 SU in their past 10 games including playoffs. Six of those games have gone over.
Three things to watch
How much will Elliott and Cooper play?
Elliott may play a lot, or he might not, depending on whom you ask, including Jerry Jones. Cooper has admitted he’s still feeling the effects of contracting the coronavirus, which cost him two games. There’s a chance both might be on snap count and the Cowboys can afford to do that because of their depth at each position. They had no trouble scoring on the Raiders with Elliott limited and Cooper out.
How much will Kamara play?
The Saints, meanwhile, desperately need their best playmaker to have a major impact again after missing multiple weeks with what was considered to be a “minor” injury. Kamara is a game-changer with power rushing and receiving skills and he takes on more importance so Hill can play off him.
How much will Hill pass opposite Prescott?
The Saints will adjust their offense with Hill replacing Trevor Siemian who replaced injured Jameis Winston who replaced retired Drew Brees. Hill led the offense to victory when Brees was on the shelf last season, getting the call over Winston. The reason Hill hasn’t been in the lineup were tied to his injuries, first a concussion and a hurting foot. He is a tough player to defense because of his speed and quickness, but Hill proved he has a strong arm when needed to thrown downfield.
Stat that matters
251.8. That’s how many average passing yards per game the Saints yield, putting them at No. 23 in the league. The Cowsboys average 303 yards passing per game with Prescott. New Orleans has a dominant run defense and Dallas is being fickle about using Elliott and Pollard in the rushing attack. The Saints have Cameron Jordan on the pass rush and Marshon Lattimore in coverage, but they will be without Marcus Davanport at end and are burnable at cornerback away from Lattimore.
Cowboys vs. Saints prediction
The Cowboys need to get more balanced and explosive, but with the concern about Elliott and the Saints’ defensive strength, this points to letting Prescott loose in a controlled environment to keep moving the ball and scoring with his wide receivers. The Cowboys’ defense will have some issues with Hill and the Saints’ running backs after breaking down a bit against the run last week. Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn has given up good production to Sean Payton’s team before during their NFC South duels and Hill and Kamara do enough to keep it close.
Cowboys 27, Saints 23