I spent about 30 years as a syndicated TV news reporter, and for about 15 of those years, I had an annual ritual.
Every December, I’d hit the streets with a videographer, stop random people and ask them the following three questions.
- By what percentage do you think stocks will go up or down next year?
- What do you think the cost of a barrel of oil will be this time next year?
- What do you think housing prices will do in the coming year?
After I recorded answers from average folks on the sidewalk, I got answers to the same questions from Wall Street experts: the highly paid prognosticators employed by the biggest financial firms on the planet.
So, who do you think was right more often: people who barely knew the stock market, or people who get paid seven figures to make accurate financial predictions?
As it turns out, experts in stocks, oil and real estate tended to do slightly better than average person on the street. But the key word in that sentence is “slightly.” There were many answers from many amateurs over the years that proved far more accurate than those of the pros.
This should come as no surprise. The world is a complicated place with infinite variables. Things happen all the time that nobody, even experts, can possibly see coming. (Recent example: COVID-19.)
But while there’s no way to reliably predict the future, that doesn’t stop us from trying. Me, you and the experts on Wall Street: We can’t plan if we can’t at least try to guess what’s ahead.
And that’s what this week’s “Money!” podcast is about. We’re going to make some educated guesses about what’s ahead for you and your money.
As usual, my co-host will be financial journalist Miranda Marquit. Listening in and sometimes contributing is producer and novice investor Aaron Freeman. And this week, we have a special guest: Joe Saul-Sehy of the legendary podcast Stacking Benjamins.
Sit back, relax and listen to this week’s “Money!” podcast:
Don’t listen to podcasts?
A podcast is basically a radio show you can listen to anywhere and anytime, either by downloading it to your smartphone, or by listening online. They’re awesome for learning stuff and being entertained when you’re in the car, doing chores, jogging or, if you’re like me, riding your bicycle.
If you haven’t listened to our podcast yet, give it a try, then subscribe. You’ll be glad you did!
Want more information? Check out these resources:
- Zillow: Hot Housing Takes for 2022
- Kiplinger: Where to Invest in 2022
- Fortune: Where the housing market is going in 2022 as told by 7 leading forecast models
- Forbes: The Economic Outlook For 2022 Will Be Impacted By Supply Chain And Labor Issues
- Forbes: No Recession In 2022—But Watch Out In 2023
- BLS.gov: The U.S. economy to 2022: settling into a new normal
- Bloomberg: Goldman Expects U.S. Economic Growth to Slow Sharply Next Year
- Barron’s: What’s Ahead for Crypto? 3 Themes and Stocks to Watch
- GOBankingRates: Cryptocurrency Predictions for 2022
- Institutional Investor: What’s Next for Crypto? Here Are 10 Predictions
- Investopedia: What to Watch in 2022
- Yahoo: Stock market 2022: Wall Street strikes a cautious tone
- Realtor.com: Will Home Prices and Rents Finally Fall? Our Bold Predictions on Real Estate in 2022
- Yahoo: Wall Street’s 2022 outlook for stocks
- Goldman Sachs: Macro Outlook 2022: The Long Road to Higher Rates
- Stacy’s stock portfolio
- Subscribe to the Money Talks News newsletter
- Take our course The Only Retirement Guide You’ll Ever Need
- Take our course Money Made Simple
- Miranda Marquit’s website
Disclosure: The information you read here is always objective. However, we sometimes receive compensation when you click links within our stories.